Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

[SvennoJ]

SecondWar said:

Biggerboat1 said:

I'm hearing a few commentators say that blocking the straight would also stop Iran from exporting their oil to China which is a key part of their income.

I guess balancing the books will go out the window though if Iran's regime thinks that the conflict has become existential.

We can only hope that some form of negotiations re-emerge, but I get the impression that Israel doesn't want any deescalation and they seem to completely have Trump's number.

They would probably assess whether its hurts the US more than them, which it likely would. It would likely cause an economic shock on the scale of 2022 when Russia first attacked Ukraine, which could do similar damage to the US economy and also potentially Trump politically whilst also disrupting his tariff plans.

Iran could then sell less ofmits oil for for, which offsets it a bit.

Iran can bypass the Straight of Hormuz



But US will likely bomb Jask Port in retaliation. 

It will hurt the gulf states the most, next to driving up gas prices world wide.