Nintendo only has to get lucky once.......

[Norion]

curl-6 said:

Norion said:

Consoles are overall doing well currently but the picture is a bit more mixed than that I'd say. Xbox hardware is fading into irrelevance and while the PS5 is doing really well it's falling behind the PS4 despite that happening to its biggest competitor historically. If it wasn't for Nintendo making a massive comeback with the Switch the console market would be looking kinda rough compared to gen 7 and I expect Sony will have at least a bit of trouble getting people to upgrade to the PS6 so for the console market there really is a lot riding on the Switch 2 having strong legs.

There's still a solid chance PS5 outsells PS4 due to the gen potentially lasting longer, and even if it doesn't it's a lock for 100 million plus which is better than PS3 or any Xbox console.

For now, it's really only Xbox who aren't thriving, and that's due to their own appalling mismanagement. 

That's true though the average per year being lower still wouldn't be ideal. I did say the PS5 is doing really well so to be more clear I think the overall picture is more mixed than that cause one of the three main console makers since 2001 has given up on trying to sell a lot of consoles and its main competitor isn't outdoing its previous system despite that. Basically if the Switch 2 sells less than the Switch 1 as expected then the console market will be heading into a period of overall decline over the next decade after a strong 2020-2023 stretch even if the two remaining major players involved are both still doing really well individually.