Sephiran on 11 June 2025
Nintendo had a sell trough of 3,5 million units at launch. That could mean shipped units are around 4,5 million as of now. That means that Switch 2 is already competitive with PS5 shipments during 2025. So Switch 2 has a fair chance to compete for the top spot in 2025 with the PS5.
I also think Nintendo consoles are usually the console that sees the biggest growth in sales during the holiday periods, due to its family appeal. That means if Switch 2 and PS5 is roughly tied until the holiday period, Switch 2 should surpass PS5 during the holidays, due to that historic pattern of holidays often boosting Nintendo sales the most in percentage terms.
