the-pi-guy said:
And what does this peaceful resolution look like to you? Because it keeps sounding like you think the Russia's invasion of Ukraine is in America's hands. It's not. It's in Russia's, it has nothing to do with America. Ukraine wants to retain it's own sovereignty, doesn't even have anything to do with Zelenskyy. I'm not sure how likely it is that Trump will support Ukraine, even with the minerals deal. |
It’s possible Trump could get Xi to the table and have Putin surrender some of the annexed territory (China does have vested interest in Russia not conquering Ukraine, and Russia is very reliant on China ever since the U.S. enforced their embargo on Russia). Tricky thing is that nationalist factions in Russia would likely want Putin’s head on a stake if that were to happen…whether they’d be able to do that? I mean, there is precedent for such factions successfully uprising against a leader in these situations. If there were to be an uprising, and the uprising were to be successful, then you bet the conflict would resume directly after the faction takes power. So, best case scenario: Xi talks Putin down, and there is no nationalist uprising in Russia.
Another situation is that the U.S. offers Zelensky refuge upon recognizing the annexed territory as Russia’s, and ending the war there. Not the most ideal situation, especially given that most of the world refuses to recognize Russia’s annexation as legitimate.
Though at this point, the minerals deal is set up, and we have nothing to worry about, thankfully. The war continues onward for the foreseeable future! Whether the U.S. will continue being the main supporter of Ukraine in this conflict, or whether responsibilities will be handed off to EU nations, I can’t say for certain. Sounds like the Trump administration is trying to hand off the EU so as to free up U.S. resources for the inevitable conflict with Taiwan. But IDK.
