The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[archbrix]

I've predicted for a while now that Switch shipments would reach 152m by March 31, 2025 and would pass the DS by the end of the year, both of which are on track. But the 4.5m forecast for Switch is a bit lower than the ~6m I had predicted. Since my estimates led to Switch finishing around 163m there is still room for that discrepancy to be able to pass 160.6m. But I'm also hoping that Nintendo's forecast was low-balled so as not to miss its target yet again.

Still hopeful for Switch to become number one, but if it misses its 4.5m target for this fiscal year, then its chances of beating the PS2 are over, barring a price drop in 2026.