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firebush03 on 08 May 2025
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Zippy6 said:
firebush03 said:

That would’ve been very similar to NSW1, only with a slightly strong holiday & a much stronger launch. You can say the numbers are big and therefore unrealistic; but 2.2mil in JP is also pretty large as well.

The forecast Nintendo gave is similar to NSW1, the numbers in your post are about 50% better lol. Switch 1 launched in march and did 15m in 2017, your post has the Switch 2 doing 18-20m with 3 less months on sale.

oops i forgot how slow Switch was in 2017 compared to 2019-2022. Ig my projection was more in-line with how Switch was doing during 2019-2022 (10mil during holiday, 4-5mil during Fall) with a strong launch. I will die on the hill that this was a perfectly sound projection! These aren’t insane figures for a mid-gen system; these are rather strong numbers for a new system. Switch 2 had 2.2mil JP preorder requests (which Nintendo said they wouldn’t be able to meet) and Nintendo made a big deal about meeting demand. So, the dots connected, and we land at Switch 2019-2022 figures.

Last edited by firebush03 - on 08 May 2025