Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 36 million?

[haxxiy]

Kyuu said:

Xbox hardware is pretty much done. GTA6 is coming too late to save it, and MS doesn't seem to give a shit anyway.

The real concern now is PC killing traditional home consoles. PS5 will probably beat PS4's lifetime sales comfortably thanks to a very long lifecycle, but I don't see PS6 generating a lot of excitement unless Sony drops PC support and return to full exclusivity including 3rd party deals. A PS6 portable might soften the blow, but it won't be enough to stop PC's dominance and Playstation's decline.

Nintendo is immune to this as long as they keep their stuff exclusive.

It's a vicious cycle. Console games sell less > fewer exclusives > the console itself sells less > console games sell less... and so on.

Microsoft could turn the Xbox hardware fortunes overnight if they wanted, but the demand for Microsoft Gaming to make as much money as Azure or Office, short-term, will kill that idea on the crib.

And Sony should know much better, they have long operated in multiple mature electronic markets with small profit margins where brand loyalty and long-term thinking matters. Yet somehow, GOW and Horizon selling 20 million isn't enough for them.