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Yeah I no longer see Xbox Series hitting 40 million even with GTA6.

Console gaming is too expensive and continues to get price hikes, the game itself may be priced as high or higher than Nintendo's upcoming games. And last but not least, I don't know if Microsoft cares about Xbox hardware enough to take advantage of GTA6's craze. There is also the small but not non-existent possibility of GTA6 being a major disappointment.

On the other hand, this generation may last forever, and there is a huge room for future pricedrops. "XboxDecks" could add a few million as well. The next generational transition will be interesting. I'm of the opinion that next gen consoles will have a much slower start and that at least Sony will continue to manufacture PS5's long after it's replaced.