Everyone is right. Pokemon is the big holiday game, and also it is a bad idea to make it cross-gen.
Nintendo is in the arrogance phase of the Nintendo cycle right now. Much is said about the business cycle, but little is said about the Nintendo cycle which goes like this: First Nintendo fears failure, so they try hard and dig down deep and produce some really amazing software. People call it "lightning in a bottle". Then Nintendo gets really successful which makes them really arrogant. Eventually their sales suffer greatly because of their arrogance. Then they fear failure, dig down deep and produce some really amazing software. People call it "lightning in a bottle" again. And so the cycle continues.
Right now Nintendo is in the arrogance phase of their cycle.
zorg1000 said:
Pokemon is not just a backwards compatible title, it’s a cross-generation release and a sequel to a game that sold 15 million. And yes, MK/DK were the most featured because they are launch window titles that hadn’t been shown yet. And not each game in isolation but the combined effect. The Q4 Nintendo IP lineup could look like: Kirby Air Riders-Oct 9 Metroid Prime 4: Beyond-Oct 23 Pokemon Legends: ZA-Nov 13 Hyrule Warriors: Age of Imprisonment-Dec 4 By your logic, Switch 1 didn’t have a major launch window title because Breath of the Wild was cross-generation and Mario Kart 8 Deluxe was a late port. |
There is a big difference here. Almost no one owned a Wii U, and they also discontinued Wii U production when they launched the Switch. BotW sales on the Wii U didn't really cut into Switch sales of BotW, because of its limited install base. By contrast the Switch 1 will end up being the best selling system of all time. It definitely will eat into potential Pokemon Z-A sales on the Switch 2. Pokemon could have been a killer app for the Switch 2 if it was exclusive, but now it won't be because it's a cross-gen title with a really popular system.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox







