The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[eldanielfire]

tak13 said:

Wman1996 said:

It could take until 2028 for Switch to sell 1 million units or less in a year, so I agree. 

While Switch has reached a far higher saturation point than PS2 had in 2006, there is a real chance if Switch 2 sales are below expectations that Nintendo could still make enough Switch units and finish in the high 160s to low 170s. 

Considering Switch 2 isn't likely to head to a PS3 level disaster in the early years, I think 180 million units is still off the table for Switch. 

Exactly that. 

Just in case of a ns2 rough start.

I can't imagine Nintendo pulling the plug, it's the only back up (and well all these profits they made on NS). 

I think the price of the games is by far bigger issue than the device price.

Europe, which s the only place where ns trailing behind Ds considerably except France(mostly owing to the added value tax) , can be a key to NS even exceeding 170m.

Also Nintendo switch lite, they can push it in developing markets 

Let's keep in mind that ps2 sold the most in such markets in its final years, notably Brazzzzzzil.

Let's see their 2025/2026 sales forecast, the most exciting ever imo... It will tell us everything. 

Weird, the Switch 1 has been declining in sales year by year for a while. It has a few games but hardly any coming out. Traiffs may make the price go up, not down. It will almost certainly have a big drop in sales from last years 11 million with the release of the Switch 2 and it has probably 2 more years of 1st party game production. It probably needs 18 million more to sell 170m. It won't do that.