Unless something real happens with the tariff situation, unlikely (but would be entertaining), years one to two should go mostly undisturbed selling basically whatever they can produce.
Whether software quality and output can continue to the same standard or better to sell average consumers on the new pricing structure, we'll start to really see after that first year plus period. But that's a fair bit into the future.
The high barrier to entry might push people on the fence to opt for a current Switch, but the only consequence of that is insuring Switch sails past PS2. Whether that cannibalises Switch 2 sales will only be seen after the early years period, if those same prospective buyers still don't see enough value to jump to the higher price tier.
I'd say the floor is 140M. 170M is more optimistic but also realistic with them building on the Switch success with a true generational leap in technology, refining all the rough edges that needed improving and the most smooth transition ever.
I'll split the difference and vote 'IT PRINTS MONEY!'.
