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JRPGfan on 04 April 2025
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Norion said:

If these tariffs don't get reversed fast then this time all three console manufacturers are gonna get fucked over by a global recession instead of Nintendo benefiting from it greatly. If they stick around then at least there won't be huge stock issues for a couple years this time and it'll mainly be US sales impacted. Nintendo would also be hurt the most this time if they do since this is right when they're about to launch a new console while the PS5 and Xbox Series are past their peak periods. This also makes 2028 for the PS6 and next Xbox more appealing to wait this shit out if need be so I wonder if plans could change with those if they're currently planned for sooner than that.

A final thing is like most people I did not expect the tariffs to be this insane so if they do stay people better get ready for the world economy to go to shit again for a while despite the impacts of the the pandemic, lockdowns and Ukraine invasion still being felt. I guess the 2nd half of this decade might not be that much better for the world than the 1st half after all.

The thing is PS5 is already sitting at ~75m sold, and they probably shipped a ton of PS5s to the US,
when Trump started talking about putting Tariffs in place (over stock). That should help them weather the storm, or atleast the worst of it.
(if the products are already inside the US, sitting in warehouses, they are not going to have to pay a "entrence fee" into the US market (tariff)... this means the next few million PS5 sold in the US, can be sold at current prices)

Microsoft has more money than anyone could ever reasonably need.... xbox? are about to drop out of hardware, and focus on Game Streaming and being a 3rd party publisher. This shouldn't effect them much.

So out of the 3.....  there is only 1 company that's really getting screwed over by this, here and now.
That is the one, about to launch a new console, that wants to build up a user base to buy the new games it's making.


and yes, I think we should not be expecting a PS6 in 2028.... esp if these tariffs are still around by then.
This will prolong the current gen.

I think the impact of the tariffs will be felt mostly by the USA (who are putting them in place, and starting these trade wars).
However trump is right, down the line, like 5-10years from now, this might actually result in more investment and also manufacturing jobs in the US.

The thing is.... thats 5-10 years down the road.
Here and now? this is going to hurt the US economy more than others.
Even if there are no winners in trade wars, everyone loses, the US will lose more.