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eldanielfire on 02 April 2025
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tak13 said:
Wman1996 said:

It could take until 2028 for Switch to sell 1 million units or less in a year, so I agree. 

While Switch has reached a far higher saturation point than PS2 had in 2006, there is a real chance if Switch 2 sales are below expectations that Nintendo could still make enough Switch units and finish in the high 160s to low 170s. 

Considering Switch 2 isn't likely to head to a PS3 level disaster in the early years, I think 180 million units is still off the table for Switch. 

Exactly that. 

Just in case of a ns2 rough start.

I can't imagine Nintendo pulling the plug, it's the only back up (and well all these profits they made on NS). 

I think the price of the games is by far bigger issue than the device price.

Europe, which s the only place where ns trailing behind Ds considerably except France(mostly owing to the added value tax) , can be a key to NS even exceeding 170m.

Also Nintendo switch lite, they can push it in developing markets 

Let's keep in mind that ps2 sold the most in such markets in its final years, notably Brazzzzzzil.

Let's see their 2025/2026 sales forecast, the most exciting ever imo... It will tell us everything. 

You are smoking crack if you think the Switch will sell 170 million units. Regardless of the unimpressive price for the Switch 2, that doesn't mean it will translate to people suddenly getting a Switch 1, which will still probably still won't geta price drop and thus won't be seen as cheap. IT's still a significant amount of money, especially given todays wages still not caught up with inflation. 

The Switch will likely just about crack 160 million+ crawling over hat finish line. The DS sales fell massively when the 3DS was released, regardless of the 3DS being overpriced the DS was only $150 and sale still dropped from 19 million in 2010 to 6.5 million in 2011. Though Nintendo's late game releases are stronger on the Switch, we alreayd know the big tentpoles this year, Metroid Prime and Pokemon Legends Z-A are on both systems.

The Switch currently just doesn't such attractive pricing today to suggest it'll buck a 60% plus drop in sales right now or be cheap enough to be attractive in non-western developing markets yet like the PS2 was. And we have no idea if Nintendo will aggressively chase that potential field like Sony did.