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Norion said:
curl-6 said:

It's possible PS5 could last longer than PS4 did, but at present there's no way we can know either way; Sony may choose to kill off PS5 in short order to drive adoption of PS6, much like last time or like other generational transitions such as DS to 3DS.

Currently PS5 is tracking behind PS4 in Japan, and if Monster Hunter Wilds couldn't raise its baseline beyond a few weeks, I'm unsure if any game can, while price cuts are seemingly no longer a thing in the console space nowadays.

When launch aligned that's the case but the PS4 was at just under 6.53m as of March 24th 2018 since it launched three months later in Japan so that way the PS5 is still about 230k ahead. It should still fall behind within the next 6-12 months though so will need a 2028 release for the PS6 to outsell it.

Official numbers don't tell the full story. Its obvious that Japanese PS5 has been exported to countries like China for years at this point. Meaning that the real figure of PS5 user base is lower than the official amount of sold consoles in Japan. Which explains why every franchise is in steep decline looking at PS5 software sales in Japan compared to the PS4. The Japanese PS5 user base is simply just a lot smaller than the PS4 user base was.