Wyrdness said:
Tbh I'd predict at least 100m because the fact of the matter is the is practically a monopoly on the portable market those platforms didn't have the same safety net as remember 3DS had a tough start and clawed its way to 75m and mind you any poor start Switch has will be addressed even more sharply as it's now their sole platform, the core home console Nintendo fans plus anyone who outside of that demographic can top up the sales to hit 100m. We don't know how much it will sell sure but we know enough to assess the situations as I mentioned above the hybrid format by default puts it in two parallel markets, the format is also a proven appealing concept which they've decide to not fix what isn't broken and instead build on a strong foundation this leaves the main challenge being appealing to both the Red and Blue ocean consumers again. |
Yes, in the handheld marked the Switch is basically the Game Boy right now (GB 118,69 million vs GG ~8 million- lets just add the 1 million Nomand users and the competution did not even reach 10%.). Adding the fact, that the whole PC "Handheld" competition was not even able to outsell the Sega Game Gear's total LTD (~8 million) in its first 2 years+ Switch can be called a monopoly in this segment, but as it is still connectable to the TV it also competes directly with PS5 and Xbox Series (wich it has already eclipsed). Their only direct competition soon will be the PS5 only as long as Sony produced physical games. I am impressed that market regulatores are not the same to Nintendo because of their monopoly as they where with MS before their Activision purchase fearing they could become too strong. Nintendo is clearly stronger in the console space than MS!