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The only thing we can say for sure is that production will last at least till the end of march 2027. If sales go worse and it does not catch the PS2, first i do not see the Switch under 152 million by march! In the worst case scenario, Switch would do another 4 million this year, despite Switch 2. That woud put it at 156 million for march 2026. I just cannot see Switch selling under 1 million in FY 2026/27 reachting a total minimum of 157 million units! Imagine if anyone told you in october 2016 that the 3DS sucessor would sell 157 million LTD MINUMUM?!
In the other case- 152 million by march is basically guaranteed- i see 5- 6 million this year (7 seems a bit high but who knows) bringing Switch's total to 157- 158 million by march 2026 . Then 2- 3 million would be the floor for next year alone bringing the Switch to 159- 160 million. With its remaining shipments it should pass this number setting in for 160- 160,8 million LTD passing the PS2. Clearly there will be some deluded fanboys around the internet claiming all of these alleged 160,6 produced million had sold through, but media will crown the Switch as Nr.1.
Anyway we all agree that the DS will fall. I am putting my head under the guillotineblade for this fact!