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Before the PS4 and Xbox One launched, I predicted PS4 to sell 115 million and Xbox to sell less than half of that. It's an unbeatable accuracy on paper, but some of my conditions weren't met, so I kinda got lucky.
Before this generation started, I predicted this gen to be significantly more one-sided than the previous one, with PS5 selling about 140 million and Series XS doing worse than Xbox One. But virtually none of my conditions were met and many unforseen events took place (price hikes instead of the traditional drops, a very few exclusives, COVID woes, wars, Zenimax and ABK acquisitions, etc) And yet once again my initial predicted numbers might end up accurate.
Pricedrops, lifecycle, and post PS6-launch support will determine whether or not it will outsell the PS4 by a wide margin, but it looks like outselling it is probable.
Last edited by Kyuu - on 14 February 2025
