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For a while, I felt that PS5 would just miss the PS4 and sell around 110m, maybe 115m. After see their recent financial results, I feel that there is a good shot of the PS5 outselling the PS4. This really depends on if GTA VI makes it by the end of this year though.

I'm still thinking the PS6 should launch in 2027, so with that in mind, I could see sales looking like this for the rest of PS5's life:

2025: 18m

2026: 15m

2027: 7m

2028: ~4.5m

2029: ~2.9m

2030: ~1m

That would bring it to about 123m, so it would have a bit of wiggle room in case it gets discontinued early or if I overestimated any numbers.