VGChartz Sales Comparison Charts December 2024 Discussion Thread

[trunkswd]

firebush03 said:

Hey Trunks, I’ve got a question: Having glanced at NSW’s most recent fiscal report, it looks to me that the sales estimates here on VGChartz greatly overprojected official shipment figures. What’s up with that? Did NSW truly maintain strong sales momentum — as suggested by VGChartz figures — but simply just ship far fewer units than last year? Or was there an error on VGChartz’ part? My guess — assuming the former scenario — is that (i) NSW Q3FY24 saw a lot of over-shipment (as demonstrated by the weak Q4FY24 & VGChartz Q4C23 sales figures) whereas NSW Q3FY2025 met demand comfortably well, (ii) it’s typical for console manufacturers not to ship too far above what has been sold when the market is as volatile (i.e. when a successor system coming so soon) in fears of dealing with an overabundance of unsold systems sitting in storage spaces, (iii) etc. Any of these theories sound at all plausible?

As sales start to slow the gap between shipped and sell-through also shrinks. However, if any adjustments do need to be made, I'll get them done during the week either before or when I start posting the January 2025 estimates with the Japan figures. We did get less data than usual for November and December, so had to extrapolate more of the sales figures than we usually do.