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Norion said:
Olivernintentoal said:

What were your expectations for Super Mario Wonder? The Switch has 2 other 2D Mario games, with New Super Mario Bros U Deluxe selling over 18 million. I'm not sure this is a case of 2D Mario not being as popular. Wonder still has a chance to pass NSMBUD, but the seeming decline could merely be driven by fatigue of 2D Mario on Switch, as well as Wonder releasing towards the end of the Switch life. And let's face it - many casuals may not realize the game is very different from the NSMB games and may not think they need another "similar" game on Switch. NSMBUD has had many years to increase sales slowly over time. Wonder is still selling well with +2.07 million so far this fiscal year. I'm not convinced that 2D Mario popularity has declined, but we shall see as Wonder continues to sell and what happens with the next game on Switch 2.

I was expecting at least as much as New Super Mario Bros DS and the Wii one considering the massive install base and how many Nintendo series have broken records on the Switch. It did have the biggest launch for a Mario game ever but only slightly over 2m since the end of March doesn't strike me as enough to get to 30m since sales for it should be lower this year than in 2024. It just seems to me that 2D Mario has underperformed on the Switch when compared to how most other big series have performed so the popularity of 2D Mario was significantly higher 15 years ago from what I can see with 3D Mario heavily increasing in popularity since then at the same time.

Simply more competition from other Mario platformers. I believe the DS had 2, the Switch has 4 (5 if Mario Maker2 is included).