Early jan. 2024.... wasn't that crazy.
I still don't think it will hit 50m now, a year lateron.
JRPGfan said:
XtremeBG said:
Dropping the Series S to 249$ permanent, and the Series X to 399$ permanent, will do it I think. With those prices (and if Sony delay pricecuts till 2025) I can see the XBOX making more than 10M for this year and gaining some marketshare. In this case PS5 will probably have a ~20M year. (I expect it a little bit higher now)
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This holiday in the us, and europe, there were Series S for 149$, and series X's for 349$.
It still came in 3rd in the US (in units of hardware sold though), its strongest market for sales (compaired to the other 2).
A full year of 399$, instead of just a month or two, in the year, could probably boost it a bit over this year.
However without, I suspect, it'll be down year on year (in 2024).
Playstation 5 pro, and Switch 2, are comeing in 2024.
I think Playstation 5, will have another 21-22m+ year.
Xbox without any perm. price cuts will probably be below 7m.
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Mid-late Jan. 2024...
I thought Switch 2 would launch in 2024 (possibly towards the end of the year).... That never happend.
PS5 did not have a 21m year.... it was only ~18.7m.
Xbox did ~4.9m for the year.... well below the 7m mark.
I didn't think it would be quite as bad as it turned out though.
JRPGfan said:
Its crazy how 2 years ago (in this thread) there were people saying 70-90m sold through.
Now its.... will it hit 40million life time sales?
I think it will break 40m.. but its not going to be quick.
I could even see Xbox being slightly overtracked on VGChartz.
So while we currently have it above 30m units, it could still be below that.
The question is if there will be a next gen xbox, that jumps into a new gen, ahead of the Playstation 6 (was rumored).
And if the next Xbox, is barely faster than say a PS5pro... how will the market react? how will currenty xbox fans react to such a quick turn around?
(ei. are people happy with their experiance with Xbox Series so far, and be willing to jump the gun on a new gen?)
Theres rumors of Awoved, Fable, Blade, Perfect Dark, Indiana Jones, ect all comeing to Playstation, and some even day and date.
How does that effect xbox console sales? Is xbox just for gamepass (ei. renting games?).
Then theres the doom and gloom gangs, saying this might be the last xbox console.
(in which case, as long as production allows, eventually it should go well above 40m)
Its hard to guess how the future unfolds.
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This was from Oct, 2024.
I still think its crazy (now in jan 2025).... The expectations out of the gate, for the Series consoles was so high.
I don't think the rumors of Xbox possibily trying to get a headstart by launching next gen early, hold any water.
Xbox's future is still kinda hard to predict.... even if everything is pointing towards them moving on to become a 3rd party publisher.
The question now, is how fast does that happend?
*edit:
I voted for 40m+, its going to take awhile. Like 2027 or 2028... but it should get over 40m.
