The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Fight-the-Streets]

As of now, I believe the Switch has more than a 95% chance of surpassing the PS2. Let’s take a moderate approach: by March 31, 2025, the Switch will have shipped 153 million units. In FY26, it is expected to ship an additional 6 million units, bringing the total to 159 million. The Switch will likely remain on sale for at least another year. Therefore, in FY27, it is projected to ship at least 2 million more units, reaching a total of 161 million and surpassing the PS2. However, it is highly probable that the Switch will continue to be produced slightly longer, allowing it to sell at least another 900,000 units and exceed the PS2’s theoretical maximum of 161.8 million units.