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Norion 3 days ago
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Norion said:
IcaroRibeiro said:

Xbox is still crossing 40 million mark with current sales, assuming new Xbox comes out in 2027 or even 2028

It only needs 8.8 million copies, there is more than enough time to sell that much

Not even that many since once the December data gets added it should be at about 32.5m for only 7.5m left to go from now. Some people are acting as if it's only at 25m or something like that with the confidence of it failing to reach 40m.

So December has been added and it was down by a huge 47.6% instead of the average of about 30% in 2024 so it fell a tad short of 32.5m so it's now 7.8m left to go. That awful December has hurt my expectations for it some though I still think it's most likely gonna reach it unless Microsoft just outright gives up on trying to sell it for the rest of its life.

2025 will be very important for it, if Xbox's good lineup and ideally GTA 6 aren't enough to notably slow down the decline and keep it above 4m this year then it's gonna be at real risk of missing it. When Microsoft releases the next Xbox still matters way more than anything else though since only a 2026 release would make below 40m a realistic possibility if it reaches 4m this year.

There's also how much they'll bother trying to sell it going forward since the deals were nowhere near as good compared to the 2023 holiday season so how much they push hardware this holiday season and when GTA 6 releases will matter a lot. And I gotta say it's a real testament to just how badly Xbox did December and last year in general that what seemed like a ridiculous idea back in April no longer seems that out there.