@Phenomajp13 @Shtinamin_ I plan on making an update after this quarter's results are in, given the holiday sales are arguably the most impactful.
US sales fell quite a bit under my predictions, contributing to poor FY25 Q1 sales, but Europe sales remained stronger than I anticipated. On the other hand, I am quite happy to have gotten Japanese sales for the year right on the dot. FY24 Q4 shipments were lower than expected due to an overshipment from the previous holiday quarter, but the lack of an announcement in 2024 helped to ensure strong Q3 and Q4 sales despite the lack of any significant price drops or bundles outside the month of November. While I did successfully predict that MP4 would be announced in the June Direct, it's release date was further away than I expected, though this was made up for by a new 2D Zelda and Mario Party taking its place in the holiday lineup.
Overall, Nintendo's strategy in 2024 was less aggressive than I anticipated, but this was ultimately compensated for by a strong holiday season as a result of their conservative approach to revealing its successor. At this point, it is probably more likely that the OLED model will be the first to be discontinued given rumors about the Switch 2 reverting to an LCD panel. My prediction for 2025 remains the same, around 6-7m for this fiscal year, effectively what the non-OLED models managed this year. Assuming holiday shipments come in as strong as sales figures have suggested, the path for the Switch to become the best-selling console of all time remains wide open.
Last edited by CheddarPlease - on 23 January 2025
