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We're about to find out very soon how much Switch 2's announcement will affect Switch 1's baseline.
I don't foresee it impacting it TOO much, since we don't have a release date or price yet. I'd expect Switch 1's baseline to drop around the 20-30k range. Noticeably lower than last year, but still respectable, especially for a system about to enter Year 9(!!!)
Once that April Direct comes and goes and we formally know the price, launch date, and launch lineup, and they're all good or even great, THAT'S when the bottom is gonna fall out.