Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 40 million?

[Norion]

firebush03 said:

Norion said:

That was for the end of June and this person who closely tracks this sort of thing estimated over 30m by the end of July so there's various estimates out there that vary somewhat. I'll stick to what VGChartz has for making projections since they're never really that far off the mark. Their Xbox One estimates were close enough for me to trust that their Xbox Series estimates are close enough.

i see. Would be nice of Microsoft just released the figures. These estimates 28.3mil v. >30mil v. >32mil are vastly different from one another. Makes projecting 40mil very difficult to call. (Though I remain adament that GTAVI will send >5mil XBSX off store shelves during Q3F'26, alongside strong legs going into 2026...hence, I do anticipate over 40mil, though maybe not by a massive amount.)

Well the 30m was by the end of July so by now I would imagine it's over 32m shipped according to his estimates. I actually think most people are overestimating the impact GTA 6 will have on hardware sales due to how late in the generation it's releasing but it's still absolutely gonna have a significant impact the period it comes out so should cause a big surge in Series S sales since that cheap to play GTA 6 will be worth it for a lot of people even if that version ends up being poor. As a result I think the decline in 2025 should be a lot smaller with it doing at least 4m this year.