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The PS5 will likely release in 2028 or later, and Xbox will follow Sony’s lead. It might launch a few months or even a year earlier, but no more than that

Releasing an Xbox in 2026 is asking Microsoft to repeat the mistake Sega made with the Dreamcast. Right now, PlayStation is the clear leader in setting the standard for gaming development. This wasn’t the case during the PS4 era (at least not in the first half), but it’s undeniable now. The PS5 is on track to outsell the Series X/S by 2.5x to 3x over its lifetime

No developer is going to waste resources making "next-gen" games for a 2026 Xbox, and Microsoft is poorly suited to support their own hardware. With all games targeting PS5 specs through at least 2030, you’ll be stuck with a $600 machine on a closed platform playing slightly better-looking games than you already can on your PS5

Then, in just two years, Sony will launch a platform with more than twice the horsepower of the next Xbox, capable of running all next-gen games far better, for a similar price. At that point, Xbox sales will plummet, and Microsoft will have no choice but to exit the console market for good