November Circana (NPD) 2024 Thread + Predictions

[trunkswd]

November 2024 Circana (NPD) covers the four-week period from November 3 to November 30 and will be released on December 18.

Since Circana (NPD) leaks don't happen nearly as often as it used to and hardware revenue is something we do get, be sure to include revenue in your predictions.

Feel free to also predict what you think the top software games will be for the month.

Example prediction:

[Total Hardware Revenue]

1. [#1 selling console] XXX,000
2. [#2 selling console] XXX,000
3. [#3 selling console] XXX,000

VGChartz US estimates for November 2023:

1. PS5 - 1,016K
2. XSX|S - 586K
3. NS - 573K

Potential boost to sales:

• Black Friday
• PS5 Pro released on November 7
• Discounts and bundles for all 3

Upcoming Circana (NPD) release dates (subject to change as Circana has delayed reports in the past):

• Dec (Dec 1 - Jan 4) - Jan 23
• Jan (Jan 5 - Feb 1) - Feb 21
• Feb (Feb 2 - Mar 1) - Mar 19
• Mar (Mar 2 - Apr 5) - Apr 23
• Apr (Apr 6 - May 3) - May 21

Breakdown:

Link to the VGChartz article here.

PS5 Best-Seller in the US in November, Switch Outsells PS2

The PlayStation 5 was once again the best-selling console in the US in November 2024 in terms of units sold and dollar sales, according to figures from Circana (formerly The NPD Group). Circana includes the dates for the four-week period of November 3 to 30.

The Nintendo Switch came in second place in terms of units sold and dollar sales, while the Xbox Series X|S came in third place in terms of units sold and dollar sales.

In terms of dollar sales, the PlayStation 5 is up 15 percent year-on-year, while the Nintendo Switch is down three percent, and the Xbox Series X|S is down 29 percent.

Lifetime sales of the Nintendo Switch have now surpassed the PlayStation 2 with 46.6 million units sold life-to-date. The Switch is now the second best-selling hardware platform of all-time in the US with it only being behind the Nintendo DS.

November saw the release of the PlayStation 5 Pro, which accounted for 19 percent of the total PlayStation 5s sold for the month and 28 percent of dollar sales. Unit sales of the PlayStation 5 Pro were 12 percent lower than the PlayStation 4 Pro, however, dollar sales were over 50 percent higher. 

There was a total of 2.4 million units of hardware sold in November 2024, which is up from 2.3 million last year. This figure includes the PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, Nintendo Switch, PlayStation 4, Arcade, and Plug-N-Play.

For 2024 year-to-date there have been 9.4 million hardware units sold through November, which is down from 11.8 million units sold in the same period in 2023.

It was revealed PlayStation VR2 sales are up year-on-year due to heavy discounts. However, the attach rate for the VR headset compared to the PlayStation 5 is still very low.

Overall spending on video games in November decreased seven percent year-on-year from $6.17 billion to $5.76 billion. Spending on video game content decreased nine percent from $4.89 billion to $4.46 billion, while video game hardware sales increased less than one percent from $924 million to $9247 million. Spending on accessories increased four percent from $358 million to $373 million.

"Projected November 2024 U.S. consumer spending on video game hardware, content and accessories fell 7% when compared to a year ago, to $5.8 billion," said Circana Executive Director and Video Game Industry Analyst Mat Piscatella. "Year-to-date spending is flat to last year."

In terms of 2024 year-to-date sales through November, overall spending on video games is up less than one percent year-on-year from $51.01 billion to $51.12 billion. Spending on video game content increased two percent from $43.80 billion to $44.88 billion, while video game hardware sales dropped 24 percent from $4.90 billion to $3.74 billion. Spending on accessories increased eight percent from $2.32 billion to $2.50 billion.

"The November spending decline was driven in part by the debut of Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 in October this year, while Call of Duty: Modern Warfare III (2023) launched during the November tracking month a year ago," said Piscatella.

The Midnight Black DualSense controller was the best-selling gamepad in terms of dollar sales for November and 2024 year-to-date. the PlayStation Portal remains the best-selling accessory in terms of dollar sales for November and 2024 year-to-date.

Call of Duty: Black Ops 6 was the best-selling game in November and is the second best-selling game of 2024, trailing only EA Sports College Football 25.

EA Sports College Football 25 is now the best-selling sports video game of all-time in US history and is in the top 50 best-selling video games of all-time in the US.

There were three new releases in the top 20 this month. Mario & Luigi: Brothership debuted in seventh place, Dragon Quest III HD-2D Remake debuted in 12th place, and My Sims: Cozy Bundle debuted in 19th place.

S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl debuted outside the top 20, however, the game is available on Xbox Game Pass. The game did come in sixth place on the Circana Player Engagement Tracker monthly active user chart on the Xbox Series X|S and ninth place on Steam.

Discounts helped boost sales for several titles with Madden NFL 25 in second place, EA Sports FC 25 in third place, EA Sports College Football 25 in fourth place, NBA 2K25 in ninth place, and Marvel's Spider-Man 2 in 14th place.

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in terms of dollars for November 2024:

Here are the top 20 best-selling games in 2024 year-to-date:

Here are the top 10 games played on the PlayStation 5 ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 games played on the Xbox Series X|S ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 games played on Steam ranked by monthly active users:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on PlayStation platforms in November 2024:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Xbox platforms in November 2024:

Here are the top 10 best-selling premium games on Nintendo platforms in November 2024:

Last edited by trunkswd - 4 days ago