The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[killer7]

Fight-the-Streets said:

killer7 said:

@Fight-The-Streets

Again i do not see Switch holding into the Switch 3(?)'s life, 2 years more is a dead lock!! Of course its a possibility. IF Nintendo gets around 12- 13 million this FY and next year will be more than the (by myself) expected 4- 6 milion sales (7 million/ 3DS salescurve) Switch might even be there longer than march 2027 but who knows. It also depends what games they'll announce for the Switch, how many cross gen games launch beyond 2027... My guess for now is, they'll give it a straight 10 years lifecycle like their previous handhelds got and thats it. But things can change of course...

Consoles usually are stopped being manufactured when the culminate yearly shippings fall below ~1 mil. We see in what year we will get there with the Switch.

I do not see the Switch selling under 4 million next year to beginn with. And thats quite pessimistic. A decline of 75% would still result in a bit over a million sales for FY 2026/27 making it surpass it's 10th Birthday. Again, thats super pessimistic and still that would be beyond 1 million.