| The_Liquid_Laser said: People are still lowballing the Switch. At the end of the current FY, total shipments will be around 153-154m. At the end of the next FY, shipments will be around 163m. After that it will sell just a few million a year, but it will likely be around 170m when manufacturing stops. I have witnessed a lot of wishful thinking about Switch sales just stopping for the past 7 years, and people are still doing it. There is still a Pokemon game on the way, and yet people are assuming that Switch sales have to fall off a cliff at some point. Folks, the cliff is never coming, and it never was coming. Expect gradual declines instead. |
I want to believe but isn't this a bit too optimistic? If the forecasted 12.5 mil can be held until the end of this fiscal year we would be at 153.82 mil, right at your ballpark of 153-154 mil. You predict that shippments will be at 9-10 mil for FY 2026. This would be a decline of only 20-28% compared to FY 2025, in a year where the successor comes out. I don't think this is realistic, even with a price cut and a new SKU-model.
