The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[xMetroid]

eldanielfire said:

xMetroid said:

I mean, it will be at around 153-154 at the end of March next year with around 12.5 millions. I think it's safe to say Switch will continue to sell around 6-8 millions lifetime after that. It will 100% become the best selling system of all time.

There's no guarantee of this. Look at the last time Nintendo hit these heights, the Nintendo DS dropped from 17.5 Million to 5 million when the 3DS came out, and that was with a bad 3DS launch. The DS sold a total of 7 and a bit million more for the rest of it's lifetime because the 3DS was backwards compatible and the DS was a saturated market.

The Switch sales are slowing faster than the 3DS already prior to the successors launch, the idea it will continue strong sales after the Successor is launched is not in any way guaranteed. In fact history suggests the opposite.

It still has great games coming to it and as you said it, even the DS sold around 7 millions after the 3DS. Thing is i don't think if the 3DS was successful the DS would have sold way less. So if the Switch 2 has a successful launch, i don't think it will stop the Switch of selling anothing 6-8 millions in 2-3 years