The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[CourageTCD]

killer7 said:

eldanielfire said:

There's no guarantee of this. Look at the last time Nintendo hit these heights, the Nintendo DS dropped from 17.5 Million to 5 million when the 3DS came out, and that was with a bad 3DS launch. The DS sold a total of 7 and a bit million more for the rest of it's lifetime because the 3DS was backwards compatible and the DS was a saturated market.

The Switch sales are slowing faster than the 3DS already prior to the successors launch, the idea it will continue strong sales after the Successor is launched is not in any way guaranteed. In fact history suggests the opposite.

Of course we are not at a point (yet) to call 160 million the floor, but 155 million is the floor! The Switch is NOT slowing faster than the 3DS. Yes it sold ~ 5-7 million 3 years in a row but the Switch is sellig at a higher level. It will be ~ 10- 11 million maybe a bit more for this FY. The Switch could exeed these 155 million (wich is the floor). Don't forget there is Pokémon Z-A, MP4B, Prof. Layton, DK and Xeno alone for next year. And that was not all for sure. Even the DS got first party games for nearly 2 years after the 3DS was out. And 2026 (30 years of Pokémon!!) won't be nothing. Pokémon Gen 10 wich is coming late 2026 is heavely rumored to be cross gen, because there is no way Nintendo ignore a userbase from 155- 160 million users for such an event! There could still be games in 2026 as well. Personally i expect games till summer 2027 for sure, maybe even 1st party. Nintendo said they'd support the Switch longer than previous Nintendo systems.

No way the Pokémon's 10th generation games will be cross-gen