The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[eldanielfire]

kilik said:

I think it will be at 151-152 million by end of the year.
I believe Switch can sell up to 9 million in 2025 as Switch 2 wont release early in the year and will likely be supply-limited at launch. So it can pass 160 million next year already.

It will keep on selling in Japan in 2026.

160 million lifetime is the absolute floor at this point.

If the Switch 2 is released in 2025, why would the Switch sell 9 million more. It'll certainly hit 150 by the end of march. But we'll probably see a fairly dramatic drop after Switch 2 is released. Unlike the 3DS, The Switch is well stocked for mainline Pokemon games already, so I can't see Legends A giving it a boost and there's nothing like Pokemon Go to give it a boost like the 3DS got. Also I think the market is saturated with Switch's unlike the 3DS.

I figure if Nintendo do a big price drop and start exploring untapped markets, like what Sony did with the PS2, then Nintendo could smash that 160m. However it won't do it in 2025.