2024 US Presidential Election

[Ryuu96]

haxxiy said:

Ryuu96 said:

Oh sure but my point was that, would the methodology be different for president versus governor/senator polling? Do we put more weight in the governor result or more weight in her presidential specific accuracy?

It wouldn't. What I'm saying is that it doesn't matter if she were as off base as she has ever been, this would still be a very bad result for Trump.

It would have to be an unprecedented polling failure (more than 2 standard deviations) for it not to be.

Alright! But yeah, understood! Either way it would be horrible!