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haxxiy said:
Ryuu96 said:

Is it worth mentioning they were only off by presidential elections at the most by +2?

Their worst result was the last 2018 governor's poll, but back then there were 7% undecideds that could have broken 5-to-1 for the Republican candidate. Now it's just 3% undecideds plus 2% who didn't reveal their vote.

Even if they are *all* Trump voters, and everyone saying RFK just votes Trump instead, he's lost a precious 2-3% vs. Harris compared to Biden in the Midwest that will shore up margins nicely in the other states she needs.

Oh sure but my point was that, would the methodology be different for president versus governor/senator polling? Do we put more weight in the governor result or more weight in her presidential specific accuracy?