2024 US Presidential Election

[Chrkeller]

the-pi-guy said:

haxxiy said:

I mean, they were also huge on Dr. Oz and a Republican senate.

Why? Because just like now the zone was flooded with low-quality Republican pollsters (which even led to Democrats withholding funds from a senate race in Wisconsin that ended up being decided by one point, and potentially to a turnout collapse in Florida).

Thanks for bringing in actual data. 

Chrkeller was arguing that companies don't like to lose money. Mistakes can still be made, even on the industrial scale. Bad data can make misleading conclusions. Even good data though, can be interpreted completely incorrectly. Especially when you don't have all the facts.

Bad data like Trump being under polled in 2016 and 2020?

Just because you don't like that data doesn't mean it is bad data. 

The data has it being tight, with an edge to Trump.

You shouldn't backhand jab the messenger.

And yes, professional betting firms aren't in the business of losing money and I'm certain they understand data better than the random folks in this thread.