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Slownenberg on 18 October 2024
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curl-6 said:

Yeah if the Switch has a significant future beyond its replacement, it's as a budget product to ensure kids from low income families are still growing up with Nintendo's IPs even if their parents can't afford a Switch 2.

To that end, I expect the OLED will get the axe in relatively short order, (as the premium slot will be filled by the successor) while the Lite, maybe the base, and maybe a new Wii Mini/New 2DS type model are kept around until the Switch 2 Lite can arrive to fill that lower priced niche.

Yeah it'll be interesting to see what actions, if any, Nintendo takes with the Switch. Maybe they just cut production down to barely anything and let whatever small number are still gonna buy it at $200/$300/$350 prices keep buying until those numbers are so small there is no point. Or yeah they could either discontinue the original and drop the OLED to $300 so it can limp along with some sales or discontinue the OLEd and let the original limp along with barely any sales. I think Lite will be the only one selling much at all because it's the budget model, but even it won't be selling much unless they cut the price by $50 to really make it an impulse buy.

I don't see a new model coming out, cuz there would be no point unless its cheaper than the Lite the the Lite is already small cheap model, I don't see them going with a super small model.

Whatever they do, unless they are cutting the price they are effectively killing off the Switch on pricing once next gen launches. I'd like to at least see the Lite cut to $150 so it becomes a budget system kids can ask their parents for and maybe Switch can manage to eek past the DS sales number. If Nintendo does nothing I think Switch will fall just short of the DS.

Side question: are the vgchartz Switch numbers even updating? lol. I feel like it's been at 142m forever, despite Switch selling over half a million a month. Weren't Nintendo's numbers 143+ at the mid-year point? I know Nintendo releases shipment numbers and not sell-through in the quarterly reports, but still why is vgchartz estimate still at 142? Seems like through August it should at least be at 143m, I'd guess real-time sales are probably more like 144m by now. Maybe I'm crazy, just feels like vgchartz has barely moved the lifetime numbers for the past like half year.