| Chrkeller said: Polls are super tight. And Trump was under polled in 2016 and 2020. Given how awful he is and how amazing Harris is.... |
I keep saying it will be an incredibly close race, when you have EC and it coming down to a few states that are tight in polls, Harris is currently in the lead by a very small margin so it's essentially a tossup. That being said, I don't think just because Trump was under polled in 16/20 automatically means he will be under polled in 2024, it is also a possibility that pollsters are overcorrecting for Trump so they aren't wrong 3 times in a row because then their credibility will be tarnished, Lol. Maybe this time they're actually right too.
But I can't help but feel like as well, MAGA enthusiasm feels lower than 16/20, the enthusiasm for Harris feels way higher than it was for Biden and Hillary...Democrats overperforming in almost all recent elections as well. This is entirely vibes though and I have no mathematical way to back it up but I just feel like the vibes are way better for Harris than Trump right now but I've been parking that and just going on polls because I don't want to be disappointed 
