US Politics |OT|

[Ryuu96]

Real Clear Polling

• PA = Tie
• MI = Harris +1.3%
• NV = Harris +1.1%
• WI = Harris +0.8%
• NC = Trump +0.6%
• AZ = Trump +1.7%
• GA = Trump +1.5%

Race to the White House

• PA = Harris +1.7%
• MI = Harris +1.8%
• NV = Harris +2.3%
• WI = Harris +2.3%
• NC = Trump +0.4%
• AZ = Trump +1.2%
• GA = Trump +0.8%

The Hill

• PA = Harris +0.9%
• MI = Harris +0.5%
• NV = Harris +1.9%
• WI = Harris +1.1%
• NC = Trump +0.7%
• AZ = Trump +1.2%
• GA = Trump +0.7%

270 to Win

• PA = Harris +0.5%
• MI = Harris +1.3%
• NV = Harris +2.2%
• WI = Harris +1.3%
• NC = Trump +0.5%
• AZ = Trump +1.2%
• GA = Trump +1%

538

• PA = Harris +0.7%
• MI = Harris +1.8%
• NV = Harris +1.0%
• WI = Harris +1.8%
• NC = Trump +0.6%
• AZ = Trump +1.4%
• GA = Trump +1.2%

Nate Silver

• PA = Harris +1.3%
• MI = Harris +2.1%
• NV = Harris +1.9%
• WI = Harris +2.1%
• NC = Trump +0.4%
• AZ = Trump +1.2%
• GA = Trump +1.0%

There's been countless of events in which we've assumed they would hugely change polling and yet they barely made a blip on polling, it isn't the first time Iran has lobbed missiles at Israel, even in 2024. GA and AZ seem to be going to Trump but I wouldn't be so sure on NC and MI is polling well for Harris but a lot still within toss-up territory.