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Real Clear Polling

  • PA = Tie
  • MI = Harris +1.3%
  • NV = Harris +1.1%
  • WI = Harris +0.8%
  • NC = Trump +0.6%
  • AZ = Trump +1.7%
  • GA = Trump +1.5%

Race to the White House

  • PA = Harris +1.7%
  • MI = Harris +1.8%
  • NV = Harris +2.3%
  • WI = Harris +2.3%
  • NC = Trump +0.4%
  • AZ = Trump +1.2%
  • GA = Trump +0.8%

The Hill

  • PA = Harris +0.9%
  • MI = Harris +0.5%
  • NV = Harris +1.9%
  • WI = Harris +1.1%
  • NC = Trump +0.7%
  • AZ = Trump +1.2%
  • GA = Trump +0.7%

270 to Win

  • PA = Harris +0.5%
  • MI = Harris +1.3%
  • NV = Harris +2.2%
  • WI = Harris +1.3%
  • NC = Trump +0.5%
  • AZ = Trump +1.2%
  • GA = Trump +1%

538

  • PA = Harris +0.7%
  • MI = Harris +1.8%
  • NV = Harris +1.0%
  • WI = Harris +1.8%
  • NC = Trump +0.6%
  • AZ = Trump +1.4%
  • GA = Trump +1.2%

Nate Silver

  • PA = Harris +1.3%
  • MI = Harris +2.1%
  • NV = Harris +1.9%
  • WI = Harris +2.1%
  • NC = Trump +0.4%
  • AZ = Trump +1.2%
  • GA = Trump +1.0%

There's been countless of events in which we've assumed they would hugely change polling and yet they barely made a blip on polling, it isn't the first time Iran has lobbed missiles at Israel, even in 2024. GA and AZ seem to be going to Trump but I wouldn't be so sure on NC and MI is polling well for Harris but a lot still within toss-up territory.