| firebush03 said: Those ppl who care abt woman’s rights and such will show up, but you have understand that they are far different from the uncontested. To repeat my previous comment, many of these ppl’s family/communities are being slaughtered. Their uncontested registration isn’t just a simple trivial display during the primary, but a demonstration of legitimate leverage as to force one party to side with their cause. (And do you rlly think abortion, trans, etc., is gonna be very appealing to ppl of the Middle East? Their culture is far different than ours…you have to keep this in mind.) As bad as Trump may be, I am whole-heartedly cheering these ppl on to fight for their cause. The DNC needs to change their ways…just tragic that it now comes at the cost of a potential nationwide abortion ban. Again, we will see in November. No point in arguing speculation. If Harris loses Michigan, you’ll have some words to be eating. |
There's going to be some overlap.
It's not like 100% of the uncontested are not going to vote in November. Some of them are going to vote, some of them aren't.
We can't exactly look at the 100k and make a good estimate on how many won't vote in November. There are also going to be some people that voted for him and changed their mind afterwards, and there's going to be some people who didn't vote whatsoever who strongly feel that way.
There's not enough information to be definitive, that's really all I'm saying.
Biden also won by ~154k votes, if Harris only loses 100k votes, Michigan is still fine.
The election also doesn't particularly hinge on Michigan. Biden could have lost all of Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota and still would have been president in 2020.
