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Ryuu96 on 28 September 2024
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Bofferbrauer2 said:
firebush03 said:

My prediction for Russia-Ukraine conflict: USA phases out support to Ukraine through 2025 and (maybe) 2026 regardless of who wins in November. Putin gets his territory, meanwhile Zelenski goes into hiding as a nationalist regime performs a military coup. Joe Biden gets his chocolate chocolate chip ice cream, and we are all reminded of the theatrical nature of US politics. We have absolutely no control and can only pray that those in power may have a change of heart.

My prediction:

Republicans will block any further support to Ukraine after the election. This really forces Europe to finally get their shit together and force their military companies to finally ramp up the production of military equipment. As a result, the EU (+UK and Norway) will increasingly replace the US as main equipment and ammunition suppliers.

Don't think this happens if Trump loses.

Republicans won't take House/Senate by high enough margins, all Democrats still support Ukraine aid in both House and Senate, it'll only take a few dissenters of the Republicans to vote in favour of Ukraine aid to continue passing it, while the last vote shows them heading in the wrong direction, it was still around 50% of Republicans still in favour of Ukraine aid in US House, that's more than enough providing Democrats will continue to vote in unity which I'm pretty certain they will.

What could happen is if Democrats lose either House or Senate, the Speaker of House or Senate Leader simply refuses to put Ukraine aid to the floor for voting, like Mike Johnson did before, but he largely only did that because Trump was telling him to. It depends if a MAGA nutjob becomes the next House Speaker/Senate Leader, I would need an American to tell me the scenarios of this event though, who is the likely replacement for Mitch McConnell. I think Mike Johnson is in Ukraine's camp for now, but he may not last as House Speaker after the election.

And Tbh, Hakeem even as minority leader in House has been outplaying Johnson multiple times already.

Last edited by Ryuu96 - on 28 September 2024