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So much of this discussion depends on details regarding the launch of the Super Switch, but I think at this point 160 million is pretty much a lock.

If they lower the price of the Switch (or do a bundle including 2 digital games like MK8D and smash or Mario Odyssey) then there's no chance for it to not become the best selling console of all time.

If the Switch 2 is $500 at launch and they keep the same pricing for the original switch then it will become the defacto budget console, and it will reach 160 million by that fact alone.

All of this is only true because breath of the wild and tears of the kingdom have such amazing word of mouth that people will feel like they're missing out by not playing them.

Super Switch will be on the market for 12-14 years. Anyway, I'm confident that Super Switch will launch with the best 3D Mario to date and be backwards compatible with switch titles, have ps4 pro level graphics in a handheld, and be backwards compatible (with upgrades in many cases). So this discussion seems important now but in 2035 we'll all be talking about how crazy it is that the Super Switch sold 200 million and everything I said will be taken as gospel.



I like it when my mom goes out of town because I get to sleep on her side of the bed. -William Montgomery