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Norion on 23 August 2024
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XtremeBG said:
Norion said:

The PS5 had a good month but it's noteworthy that it seemed to benefit less from that game than the Xbox Series did and is still down significantly YoY and compared to the same month for the PS4. This is a bad sign for how it'll hold up the next couple months but it's still selling really well overall of course and Wukong should help it for August.

The thing for the PS5 is that yea it is down, yea it's trailing behind, but we know what the PS4 has going forward in terms of sales. It is at this time in it's 2017 year - it's peak year. The 2018 is one more strong year. PS5 should match those two very close, will probably be somewhat behind, but 1-2M for each of them is not much of a deficit. Then the PS4 shows really weak side. 2019 is 14M 2020 is 8M and it does only 3M after that. As of now most of the rumours points out to at least 2028 for next gen consoles, or at least PS6. So I assume even doing some 18-20 and the same 18-20M range next year (mostly because of the Pro model and GTA6), it's 2026 year should easily beat the 14M of PS4'2019. And surely it has to do more than 8M in 2027 and more than 3M after that. So the 3-4M in total deficit it can do for this and next year to PS4 I think is not enough to put it below the lifetime sales of the PS4 at the end. It's not so hard to beat the PS4 lifetime sales at this stage.

You're right that it won't be tough to beat the lifetime sales if it lasts an extra year. Sony would certainly prefer to not need to rely on that to make that happen though. I do think it has a shot of matching or even slightly exceeding the PS4's 2018 since the PS5 Pro being available for all of 2025 combined with it likely being the biggest year for gaming this decade will definitely push a significant amount of hardware. At the very least it'll for sure compare better to that year than it is to 2017.