Famitsu Sales: Week 31, 2024 (Jul 29 - Aug 04)

[Tober]

Pinkie_pie said:

Tober said:

I looked at Shadowlink summary. PS5 is at 56% compared to last year YTD (0.94M vs. 1.67M). The total for 2023 was 2.59 million. If this trend continues being 56% we end up at 1.45 million. There were some unusual slow weeks in 2023 for PS5, but 2023 was also a 53 week year. 2024 is not. So I wrote down 1.4. But I could also have wrote 1.5. In my opinion it will be in that ballpark.

And what about the trend for the switch? It was 2.4m this time last year and sold 1.6m for the remainder of the year. Somehow you think it could sold the same as last year when it's down by 800k so far this year. 

Last year Switch sold 4million plus, I'm not thinking that it will sell that much this year.

I am comparing to 2018. Currently it's 200K ahead. I do not expect Switch to get 2018 holiday numbers though. So I'm trying to guesstimate how much it will lose this Q4 against 2018 Q4.

The big difference is that in 2018 Switch was 1 model, Switch now has 3. Typically the cheaper Lite model does well in summer and holiday. This week it was 23% of all Switch sales.

I guesstimate it would loose 0.5million in Q4 compared to 2018. But I also see the Zelda special edition to add 100K this calendar year to fans and collectors, making the net impact 400K.

So taking the 2018 total of 3.48 total. Deducting 400K. Then adding the 200K lead thus far. I get to 3.2million.

Again my opinion. But I did give this some though. Might be wrong, we will see.