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IT'S A TOSS-UPhttps://t.co/vsGVG189Sa pic.twitter.com/GRwtAYOM95
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 1, 2024
With Kamala Harris having another day of reasonably strong polling, we're now officially in the zone where we can call the race a toss-up. She has a 54 percent chance of winning Michigan, a 50 percent chance of winning Wisconsin, a 47 percent chance of winning Pennsylvania, and a 45 percent chance of winning the Electoral College.
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Harris!!! What a turnaround, from Biden's cratering numbers to completely reversing it in a matter of weeks, she hasn't even announced her VP or had the DNC yet, she isn't even the official nominee yet and Trump's numbers barely moved after almost being assassinated. Still! We have months to go! Don't get too arrogant, keep focused, don't let up, Trump could still win but all momentum is with Harris.
