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Ryuu96 on 25 July 2024
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Support for Harris surpassed Biden’s support from earlier this month in all five states; in Arizona, by four points (Biden’s 40% to Harris’ 44%), Georgia by five points (41% to 46%), Michigan by three points (42% to 45%), Pennsylvania by three points (43% to 46%), and Wisconsin by four points (43% to 47%). 

“Young voters have shifted toward Harris: her support compared to Biden increased by 16 points in Arizona, eight in Georgia, five in Michigan, 11 in Pennsylvania, and one in Wisconsin since earlier polling this month.”

Regarding Vice President Harris’ selection of a running mate, a plurality of Arizona voters prefer Senator Mark Kelly (36%), 27% of Michigan voters prefer Gretchen Whitmer, 40% of Pennsylvania voters support Josh Shapiro, while 14% of Wisconsin voters support Bernie Sanders and 12% Pete Buttigieg. 

  • Among just Democratic voters, in Arizona 42% prefer their Senator Mark Kelly, in Pennsylvania, 57% prefer their Governor Josh Shapiro and in Michigan 36% prefer their Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Georgia and Wisconsin saw Democrats split among candidates with no one having more than around 20%.

Top Issues:

  • AZ: 30% immigration, 25% economy, 12% housing affordability
  • GA: 41% economy, 10% immigration, 10% housing affordability
  • MI: 42% economy, 11% immigration, 11% housing affordability
  • PA: 50% economy, 9% threats to democracy, 7% immigration
  • WI: 42% economy, 10% threats to democracy, 10% housing affordability, 10% immigration

AZ: Shift from Trump +10 to Trump +5
GA: Shift from Trump +5 to Trump +2
MI: Shift from Trump +3 to Trump +1
PA: Shift from Trump +6 to Trump +2
WI: Shift from Trump +3 to even