| badskywalker said: If the Democratic Nominee wins Nebraska's 2nd district (fairly likely) then only the 3 rust belt states really matter. If all three go democratic while Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia go Red its a 270-268 victory for the democratic nominee (Which based on polling is the most likely path for victory for a democratic nominee at this time) |
Yup, I've looked up a map that features the current consensus of polling. Which is obviously still based on Biden being the candidate, so for all the criticism of him, it's actually not looking that bad of a baseline that Harris will inherit.
The rust belt should be more manageable to win by default, because up in the north the topics of jobs and the economy have to be more important than the border and immigration.
I've seen a statistic that apparently 19% of the voters qualify as double haters of Biden and Trump. If Harris can pull only a portion of those on her side, it can tip the scale enough for the win already.
Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.
