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Norion on 19 July 2024
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XtremeBG said:
Norion said:

There's no guarantee at all that it'll stay at 200k per month going forward. In fact it would be very surprising if June isn't better than May since as I said June is a significantly stronger month for console sales than May. I don't think expecting a nearly 50% drop in November+December is realistic based on just a couple bad months that weren't 50% down from the same months last year. May was 30% down and it's 30% down so far this year overall so the question is why would it decline a lot more than that for the 2nd half of the year?

For that image the reason it'll easily exceed the Xbox One line by the end is it barely having a holiday boost so it'll shoot up like the 360 one did. 

There's no guarantee it will boost itself up to 300k per month too (5 week months I can see them doing ~ 250k) June will be slightly better, because it is 5 week month. However the sales for Europe are out and you can see them per week. The sales per week are on the same level they were for May - between 15 and 18K. So no improvement there. We will have US data soon enough too. The year for the XBSX is going for a finish around the 4M mark. It won't be 50% drop for the year, it will be something like 40% drop. And that is if it can stay to 200K or more per month. Hopefully it doesn't go under. And yes, it will shoot up like the 360 one did. No doubt about that. Simply from ~ 2.5M to ~ 4M. This is decent shoot up. More than half of the sales for just 2 months.

I still don't get why you're so sure it'll decline significantly more in November+December and the 2nd half of the year in general than it has for the year overall so far. I can accept the possibility of it failing to reach 5m in a worst cast scenario but there's no way it ends up closer to 4m than 5m by the end of the year so it's not gonna finish around 4m. For this month College Football 25 is coming out today and there's indications that it's gonna sell some consoles in the US so July could be a relatively decent month for the Xbox Series this year.

Last edited by Norion - on 19 July 2024