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BFR said:

1. What info do you have, in which you can say with confidence that expelling Russia from Ukraine would be that difficult?

2. China invading Taiwan is not imminent.  It could happen, but not soon, and most likely much later this decade, if it ever happens.  You can bet China is watching what happens with Russia's war in Ukraine.

I read polish analysts.

Attacking is 100 times more difficult than defending.

That terrain is a nightmare for the attacker.

PS: I don't come here to discuss China vs Taiwan.