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I don't worry that much about polling this time around, they were inaccurate throughout the year for smaller elections and tend to be heavily skewed toward Republicans since Roe V Wade was overturned.
The debate was, for sure, not a strong point for Biden, a stark contrast from his last State of the Union address. But He still holds the office and Democrats are on the popular side of most current issues, especially abortion rights. IMO Biden should push for a strong bill on abortion rights closer to the election and force Republicans to again take a strong stance against the popular opinion.